Read the full report: South America 2030

All GDP’s (Argentina, Bolivia, Brazil, Chile, Colombia, Ecuador, Paraguay, Peru, Uruguay are predicted to grow between 1%-5% from 2018 to 2023 except for Venezuela which will continue to experience negative GDP.

Key indicators that the report measures:

  • Poverty Rates
  • GDP Projections through 2023
  • Murder Rates
  • Poverty Rates
  • Population
  • Urbanization
  • Unemployment
  • Internet Mobile Phone Penetration Rates
  • Chinese Investment since 2005
  • World Bank Governance Indicators
    • Voice and Accountability
    • Political Stability and Absence of Violence / Terrorism
    • Government Effectiveness
    • Regulatory Quality
    • Rule of Law
    • Control of Corruption
    • Average

Page 17 of the document provides a table that shows challenges, opportunities, and best guest predictions for 2030 across several different dimensions including Security, Institutional Capacity, Economic Growth, Demographics, and Technology. The report applies this methodology to each country in South America.

The report lists climate change and the collapse of political parties as two factors that could negatively impact South America over 2030. The report cites the election of President Jair Bolsonaro in Brazil and the rise of the AMLO as examples of the lack of citizen confidence in traditional parties.

The report also examines the influence being exerted by China and Russia throughout the region. Pg 15 of the report identifies China investment in each Country since 2005.